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USD/JPY: 50% retracement of recent decline is key - FXStreet

FXStreet (Guatemala) - Valeria Bednarik, chief analyst at FXStreet explained that an early advance was contained overnight in USD/JPY around the 50% retracement on its last two weeks decline, still the level to break to confirm a stronger advance.

Key Quotes:

"Anyway, the USD/JPY tends to remain range bound ahead of US Nonfarm Payroll data, which means little should be expected for this Thursday. Short term, the pair maintains a neutral-to-bearish tone, as in the 1 hour chart, the pair is also below its 100 and 200 SMAs, whilst the technical indicators are hovering around their mid-lines."

"In the 4 hours chart, the technical picture supports a continued decline, as the moving averages extended their bearish slopes well above the current price, whilst the Momentum indicator is turning back south below its 100 level, and the RSI indicator hovers around 46. To confirm a more sustainable decline, the pair needs to break below 119.35, 61.8% retracement of the same rally."

EUR/JPY: a little softer in Tokyo, but not much

EUR/JPY is slightly offered in the Tokyo open although there is a lack of potential for risk factors with China being out of action on holiday for the rest of the week, thus the Yen may remain soft ahead of a data packed end of week with the ECB then Nonfarm Payrolls Friday.
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AUD/USD: Aussie retails sale and A$ forecast - Westpac

Imre Speizer, analyst at Westpac Banking Corporation noted that Australia’s retail sales should be the session’s market highlight, the consensus estimate 0.4%, and he offered outlooks for the price from 1 day-3 months out.
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