EUR/USD seen at 1.06 in six months – Rabobank

Analysts at Rabobank see the EUR/USD pair moving to the downside over the next months. They have a six-month forecast for EUR/USD at 1.06. 

Key quotes:

“Despite its safe haven characteristics, the USD failed to gain traction last month on the US regional banking woes. This was a result of the market perceiving this to be a specific US event with little contagion risk to Europe or elsewhere. That said, on the back of sticky inflation pressures it is our view that Fed rates will be higher for longer than the market currently expects.”

“We also see risk of higher for longer rates from a number of other G10 central banks. This can only serve to enhance the risk of other financial related crisis in the coming months, which could trigger further safe haven USD demand. We retain our 6-month forecast of EUR/USD1.06”